In South Africa, the omicron variant has taken over, displacing Delta. Well over 90% of Covid cases are now omicron. I expect the US to look like this within two months.
I remain optimistic about omicron’s safety and efficacy as an innoculation against severe Covid. As in all things, I could be wrong, and will advise if the evidence changes.
If you’re sure of anything, you’re probably not gripping reality tightly. In science, we “know” very few facts. There are many things that we have a working assumption of, and there are may topics that evidence supports strongly, but new information arrives regularly, and so we find ourselves adjusting our understanding of things, even things we thought were certain, on a painfully regular basis.
As I have said in the past, though, we are at a persuasion disadvantage, because that very uncertainty translates for non-scientifically trained people as reason to mistrust, or to take the views of more-certain people more seriously. Salesmen and confidence men know this about human nature, and so they take advantage of people’s substitution of unrelated info (affect, word choices) for careful analysis of arguments.
Certainty is convincing.
Honesty is less so.
Learn how to recognize people who are using certainty as a way to substitute for good argument. They may or may not be right, but you should recognize their techniques as a datapoint in your analysis of their arguments.
Stay healthy!
I'm on a weekend night call schedule this weekend, which always leaves me feeling under-rested and generally icky.
But I wanted to remind you that outdoor exercise without screens is really good for your mental health.
Go outdoors, preferably into the woods.
Get in tune with those surroundings, the sights, the sounds, the smells, even the movement of air and the varying temperatures as you walk.
We were made to be outdoors.
We were definitely not made to work in cubicles.
One Degree!
What you want from your body will dictate what you need to set as goals, and the goals will determine what you'll end up having to change to attain them.
I've spoken many times about systems being better than goals, and my position has not changed.
But goals are easier to discuss and to understand, so for this week, we'll be very specific about goals.
Do you want more muscle mass?
Do you want to be stronger?
Do you want to run faster?
Do you want to gain weight?
Do you want to lose weight?
Do you want to improve general fitness?
Do you want longevity?
Do you want strong bones?
Do you want to earn a Black Belt?
Understanding the benefits and costs of each particular goal may help you decide what you want.
For example, if you want to compete in body-building competitions, you'll not be doing the same thing as if you were focused on longevity. Same with strength competitions.
But general fitness and longevity go fairly well together.
Running is great but will increase the likelihood of needing knee or hip ...
I'll make this one short and to the point.
Spring time change is hard on all of us. Having to get up an hour early doesn't make going to bed an hour earlier much easier.
Yes, it's nice to have more productive time in the evening.
But it's at the cost of forcing us out of be an hour earlier, as we all know.
Our challenge is to adjust our circadian rhythm to match the world's expectations around us.
My main strategy is supplementing with a dose of melatonin about a half hour before I need to be asleep. It helps most people fall asleep more readily.
If you need a nap during your day, take it between mid-morning and early afternoon. Limit it to 20 minutes.
Taking a longer or later nap may make it even harder to get off to sleep in time.
All of the other normal advice applies even moreso: